Dingers Hotline
Today's PicksPick of the DayLeaders
Today's PicksPick of the DayLeaders
Home RunsStrikeouts
20.1%
Hit Rate
Season Record
447 / 2228
picks homered since Apr 16
Yesterday
1/15 (7%)
homers / picks (rate)
Days Tracked
150
labeled results
Current Streak
1 LOSS
consecutive days ≥20%
Strong PlaysHigh-confidence model picks5 picks20% HR rate (697 picks)
#1 ★★★★☆
Munetaka Murakami 30.5
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox  ·  3:10 PM ET
Rate Field  ·  Home
LHB vs Kyle Freeland (L)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.260
Barrel20.3%
Hard Hit56.6%
EV Avg93.9 mph
Sweet Sp30.1%
FB%38.3%
Season HR35
Park 85%70°FWind 7mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 3.4 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.260, barrel 20.3%, hard hit 56.6%, pitcher L3: 3.4HR/9, career Rate Field: 20HR, 4HR last 14d, park 85%, weather 89% HR factor, Small outfield
#2 ★★★★☆
Pete Alonso 30.0
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees  ·  1:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium  ·  Away
RHB vs Elmer Rodríguez (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel15.3%
Hard Hit56.2%
EV Avg93.9 mph
Sweet Sp36.8%
FB%31.3%
Season HR43
Park 94%66°FWind 16mph (in)8HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.1 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 15.3%, hard hit 56.2%, pitcher L3: 1.1HR/9, career Yankee Stadium: 11HR, 8HR last 14d, weather 89% HR factor, short left porch
#3 ★★★★☆
Kyle Schwarber 29.0
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies  ·  3:05 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Nick Martinez (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.250
Barrel15.4%
Hard Hit49.2%
EV Avg92.3 mph
Sweet Sp37.4%
FB%32.1%
Season HR45
Park 91%63°FWind 19mph (in)1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.4 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.250, barrel 15.4%, hard hit 49.2%, pitcher L3: 1.4HR/9, career Citizens Bank Park: 131HR, weather 76% HR factor, Small outfield
#4 ★★★★☆
Elly De La Cruz 26.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays  ·  3:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre  ·  Away
SHB vs Max Scherzer (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.230
Barrel16.4%
Hard Hit53.5%
EV Avg94.7 mph
Sweet Sp36.1%
FB%26.5%
Season HR30
Park 108%77°FWind 11mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.2 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.230, barrel 16.4%, hard hit 53.5%, pitcher L3: 1.2HR/9, career Rogers Centre: 1HR, 4HR last 14d
#5 ★★★★☆
Yordan Alvarez 26.0
Houston Astros @ Athletics  ·  3:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park  ·  Away
LHB vs TBD (?)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.320
Barrel16.1%
Hard Hit53.9%
EV Avg94.4 mph
Sweet Sp40.3%
FB%37.6%
Season HR42
Park 124%72°FWind 9mph (out)4HR / 14d
Why: xISO 0.320, barrel 16.1%, hard hit 53.9%, 4HR last 14d, park 124%
Solid LooksGood signals across the board5 picks20% HR rate (697 picks)
#6 ★★★☆☆
Matt Olson 25.5
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins  ·  3:10 PM ET
loanDepot park  ·  Away
LHB vs Janson Junk (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.260
Barrel14.2%
Hard Hit51.9%
EV Avg92.5 mph
Sweet Sp32.0%
FB%35.3%
Season HR41
Park 88%3HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.4 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.260, barrel 14.2%, hard hit 51.9%, pitcher L3: 1.4HR/9, career loanDepot park: 8HR, 3HR last 14d
#7 ★★★☆☆
Kazuma Okamoto 25.0
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays  ·  3:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre  ·  Home
RHB vs Brandon Williamson (L)  ·  #5 in order
xISO0.220
Barrel13.1%
Hard Hit44.1%
EV Avg90.6 mph
Sweet Sp35.1%
FB%33.8%
Season HR33
Park 108%77°FWind 11mph (in)2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.3 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.220, barrel 13.1%, pitcher L3: 1.3HR/9, career Rogers Centre: 15HR
#8 ★★★☆☆
Shohei Ohtani 24.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants  ·  3:05 PM ET
Oracle Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Carson Seymour (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.270
Barrel16.4%
Hard Hit52.0%
EV Avg93.3 mph
Sweet Sp38.3%
FB%30.6%
Season HR30
Park 80%59°FWind 10mph (out)Pitcher L3: 3.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.270, barrel 16.4%, hard hit 52.0%, pitcher L3: 3.0HR/9, career Oracle Park: 4HR, park 80%
#9 ★★★☆☆
Ben Rice 23.0
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees  ·  1:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium  ·  Home
LHB vs Shane Baz (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel14.3%
Hard Hit48.6%
EV Avg91.9 mph
Sweet Sp38.4%
FB%32.1%
Season HR41
Park 94%66°FWind 16mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.4 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 14.3%, hard hit 48.6%, pitcher L3: 1.4HR/9, career Yankee Stadium: 40HR, 4HR last 14d, weather 89% HR factor, short right porch
#10 ★★★☆☆
Juan Soto 23.0
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals  ·  1:05 PM ET
Nationals Park  ·  Away
LHB vs DJ Herz (L)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel13.9%
Hard Hit47.9%
EV Avg92.5 mph
Sweet Sp31.9%
FB%32.5%
Season HR27
Park 88%59°FWind 13mph (in)2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.2 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 13.9%, hard hit 47.9%, pitcher L3: 2.2HR/9, career Nationals Park: 54HR, BPP rank #5, weather 84% HR factor
Worth WatchingModerate edge, worth a look5 picks20% HR rate (674 picks)
#11 ★★☆☆☆
Coby Mayo 22.5
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees  ·  1:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium  ·  Away
RHB vs Elmer Rodríguez (R)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel13.5%
Hard Hit47.3%
EV Avg91.3 mph
Sweet Sp34.5%
FB%35.3%
Season HR24
Park 94%66°FWind 16mph (in)1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.1 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 13.5%, hard hit 47.3%, pitcher L3: 1.1HR/9, career Yankee Stadium: 1HR, weather 89% HR factor, short left porch
#12 ★★☆☆☆
Lucas Spence 21.0
Houston Astros @ Athletics  ·  3:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Seth Johnson (R)  ·  #7 in order
xISO0.200
Barrel12.9%
Hard Hit51.6%
EV Avg92.2 mph
Sweet Sp38.7%
FB%25.8%
Season HR4
Park 124%72°FWind 9mph (out)4HR / 14d
Why: xISO 0.200, barrel 12.9%, hard hit 51.6%, career Sutter Health Park: 4HR, 4HR last 14d, park 124%
#13 ★★☆☆☆
Pete Crow-Armstrong 20.5
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox  ·  3:05 PM ET
Tropicana Field  ·  Away
LHB vs TBD (?)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel13.3%
Hard Hit48.5%
EV Avg90.6 mph
Sweet Sp38.1%
FB%33.6%
Season HR45
Park 91%63°FWind 19mph (in)4HR / 14d
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 13.3%, hard hit 48.5%, career Tropicana Field: 1HR, 4HR last 14d, Small outfield
#14 ★★☆☆☆
James Wood 20.5
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals  ·  1:05 PM ET
Nationals Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Sean Manaea (L)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel18.7%
Hard Hit58.8%
EV Avg95.4 mph
Sweet Sp36.8%
FB%24.6%
Season HR30
Park 88%59°FWind 13mph (in)Pitcher L3: 1.3 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 18.7%, hard hit 58.8%, pitcher L3: 1.3HR/9, career Nationals Park: 42HR, weather 84% HR factor
#15 ★★☆☆☆
Zack Gelof 14.0
Houston Astros @ Athletics  ·  3:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park  ·  Home
RHB vs TBD (?)  ·  #5 in order
xISO0.200
Barrel10.8%
Hard Hit42.9%
EV Avg89.7 mph
Sweet Sp29.4%
FB%30.4%
Season HR22
Park 124%72°FWind 9mph (out)5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.200, barrel 10.8%, 5HR last 14d, park 124%