Dingers Hotline
Latest Update: 2026-06-02 04:36 PM  ·  15 Picks
Pick of Day ★ HR Leaders → Hit Rate 📅
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22.3%
Hit Rate
Season Record
142 / 638
picks homered since Apr 16
Yesterday
2/15 (13%)
homers / picks (rate)
Model AUC
0.685
ML weight 46%
Days Tracked
43
labeled results
Current Streak
1 LOSS
consecutive days ≥20%
Top EV Plays Top 5 by expected value 24% HR rate (237 picks)
EV #1
Dillon Dingler
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays
★★★★☆
EV #2
Miguel Vargas
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
★★☆☆☆
EV #3
Casey Schmitt
San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers
★★★☆☆
EV #4
Nick Kurtz
Athletics @ Chicago Cubs
★★☆☆☆
EV #5
Jackson Merrill
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
★★☆☆☆
Strong PlaysHigh-confidence model picks5 picks24% HR rate (215 picks)
#1 ★★★★☆
Yordan Alvarez 41.0
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros  ·  8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Bubba Chandler (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.410
Barrel20.2%
Hard Hit53.5%
EV Avg94.7 mph
Sweet Sp46.5%
FB%39.4%
Season HR20
Park 106%5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.3 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.410, barrel 20.2%, hard hit 53.5%, pitcher L3: 1.3HR/9, career Daikin Park: 84HR, 5HR last 14d
#2 ★★★★☆
Kyle Schwarber 34.5
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies  ·  6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Randy Vásquez (R)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.310
Barrel23.4%
Hard Hit50.0%
EV Avg92.8 mph
Sweet Sp36.7%
FB%37.5%
Season HR22
Park 93%79°FWind 10mph (in)2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.8 HR/9H2H 1HR/5AB
Why: xISO 0.310, barrel 23.4%, hard hit 50.0%, h2h 1HR/5AB, career Citizens Bank Park: 116HR, weather 79% HR factor, Small outfield
#3 ★★★★☆ LINEUP PENDING
Mike Trout 34.2
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels  ·  9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium  ·  Home
RHB vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.320
Barrel21.1%
Hard Hit49.3%
EV Avg91.1 mph
Sweet Sp35.8%
FB%36.5%
Season HR14
Park 111%73°FWind 9mph (out)3HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.320, barrel 21.1%, hard hit 49.3%, pitcher L3: 2.0HR/9, career Angel Stadium: 208HR, 3HR last 14d, Small outfield
#4 ★★★★☆
Dillon Dingler 33.5
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays  ·  6:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field  ·  Away
RHB vs Steven Matz (L)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel14.2%
Hard Hit49.7%
EV Avg90.3 mph
Sweet Sp42.3%
FB%31.5%
Season HR13
Park 97%5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.9 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 14.2%, hard hit 49.7%, career Tropicana Field: 2HR, 5HR last 14d
#5 ★★★★☆ LINEUP PENDING
Juan Soto 26.5
New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners  ·  9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Logan Gilbert (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.340
Barrel18.3%
Hard Hit50.8%
EV Avg93.2 mph
Sweet Sp29.5%
FB%37.1%
Season HR13
Park 104%82°FWind 4mph (out)7HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.9 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.340, barrel 18.3%, hard hit 50.8%, career T-Mobile Park: 1HR, 7HR last 14d, 82°F, calm 4mph, Small outfield
Solid LooksGood signals across the board5 picks21% HR rate (221 picks)
#6 ★★★☆☆
Matt Olson 26.0
Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves  ·  7:15 PM ET
Truist Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Kevin Gausman (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.290
Barrel15.5%
Hard Hit51.4%
EV Avg93.4 mph
Sweet Sp33.7%
FB%33.1%
Season HR16
Park 85%70°FWind 9mph (cross)2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.6 HR/9H2H 2HR/16AB
Why: xISO 0.290, barrel 15.5%, hard hit 51.4%, h2h 2HR/16AB, career Truist Park: 73HR, park 85%, weather 87% HR factor
#7 ★★★☆☆
Jonathan Aranda 25.0
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays  ·  6:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field  ·  Home
LHB vs Jack Flaherty (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.230
Barrel13.2%
Hard Hit47.7%
EV Avg90.9 mph
Sweet Sp40.4%
FB%31.8%
Season HR11
Park 97%3HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.8 HR/9H2H 1HR/—AB
Why: xISO 0.230, barrel 13.2%, hard hit 47.7%, h2h 1HR/NoneAB, career Tropicana Field: 11HR, 3HR last 14d
#8 ★★★☆☆
James Wood 23.5
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals  ·  6:45 PM ET
Nationals Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Lake Bachar (R)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.350
Barrel25.5%
Hard Hit59.7%
EV Avg96.3 mph
Sweet Sp43.0%
FB%30.9%
Season HR16
Park 79%81°FWind 8mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.350, barrel 25.5%, hard hit 59.7%, career Nationals Park: 32HR, 4HR last 14d, park 79%, 81°F, weather 79% HR factor
#9 ★★★☆☆
Brandon Lowe 23.0
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros  ·  8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Mike Burrows (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.260
Barrel13.9%
Hard Hit46.4%
EV Avg90.1 mph
Sweet Sp38.4%
FB%33.1%
Season HR14
Park 106%2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.8 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.260, barrel 13.9%, hard hit 46.4%, pitcher L3: 1.8HR/9, career Daikin Park: 4HR
#10 ★★★☆☆
Casey Schmitt 22.0
San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers  ·  7:40 PM ET
American Family Field  ·  Away
RHB vs Kyle Harrison (L)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel15.1%
Hard Hit45.0%
EV Avg89.7 mph
Sweet Sp36.3%
FB%36.3%
Season HR12
Park 90%75°FWind 5mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 15.1%, hard hit 45.0%, career American Family Field: 1HR, 4HR last 14d, calm 5mph, weather 80% HR factor
Worth WatchingModerate edge, worth a look5 picks22% HR rate (197 picks)
#11 ★★☆☆☆
Miguel Vargas 21.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins  ·  7:40 PM ET
Target Field  ·  Away
RHB vs Connor Prielipp (L)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel15.3%
Hard Hit46.5%
EV Avg90.4 mph
Sweet Sp39.4%
FB%35.3%
Season HR15
Park 73%84°FWind 9mph (in)4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.2 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 15.3%, hard hit 46.5%, pitcher L3: 1.2HR/9, career Target Field: 4HR, 4HR last 14d, park 73%, 84°F, weather 80% HR factor
#12 ★★☆☆☆ LINEUP PENDING
Ketel Marte 18.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks  ·  9:40 PM ET
Chase Field  ·  Home
SHB vs Eric Lauer (L)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.210
Barrel11.0%
Hard Hit44.5%
EV Avg90.8 mph
Sweet Sp33.5%
FB%23.0%
Season HR10
Park 92%5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.5 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.210, barrel 11.0%, pitcher L3: 2.5HR/9, career Chase Field: 76HR, 5HR last 14d
#13 ★★☆☆☆
Nick Kurtz 18.0
Athletics @ Chicago Cubs  ·  8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field  ·  Away
LHB vs Jameson Taillon (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel18.3%
Hard Hit58.0%
EV Avg94.2 mph
Sweet Sp38.9%
FB%26.0%
Season HR10
Park 68%68°FWind 8mph (in)2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.8 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 18.3%, hard hit 58.0%, pitcher L3: 2.8HR/9, park 68%, weather 69% HR factor
#14 ★★☆☆☆ LINEUP PENDING
Jorge Soler 15.2
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels  ·  9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium  ·  Home
RHB vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.170
Barrel10.9%
Hard Hit41.3%
EV Avg88.2 mph
Sweet Sp34.8%
FB%25.4%
Season HR9
Park 111%73°FWind 9mph (out)1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.0 HR/9
Why: barrel 10.9%, pitcher L3: 2.0HR/9, career Angel Stadium: 13HR, Small outfield
#15 ★★☆☆☆
Jackson Merrill 11.8
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies  ·  6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Aaron Nola (R)  ·  #5 in order
xISO0.180
Barrel10.0%
Hard Hit45.7%
EV Avg89.4 mph
Sweet Sp37.7%
FB%25.2%
Season HR5
Park 93%79°FWind 10mph (in)1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.6 HR/9
Why: barrel 10.0%, hard hit 45.7%, pitcher L3: 1.6HR/9, career Citizens Bank Park: 1HR, weather 79% HR factor, Small outfield