22.3%
Hit Rate
Season Record
281 / 1258
picks homered since Apr 16
Yesterday
0/15 (0%)
homers / picks (rate)
Model AUC
0.611
ML weight 28%
Days Tracked
85
labeled results
Current Streak
1 LOSS
consecutive days ≥20%
Strong PlaysHigh-confidence model picks5 picks22% HR rate (373 picks)
#1 ★★★★
Yordan Alvarez 26.3
Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros  ·  8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Dean Kremer (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.380
Barrel18.7%
Hard Hit53.2%
EV Avg94.7 mph
Sweet Sp42.9%
FB%40.0%
Season HR31
92°FWind 7mph5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 3.1 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.380, barrel 18.7%, hard hit 53.2%, pitcher L3: 3.1HR/9, career Daikin Park: 91HR, 5HR last 14d, 92°F
#2 ★★★★
Ben Rice 18.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees  ·  7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium  ·  Home
LHB vs Roki Sasaki (R)  ·  #5 in order
xISO0.250
Barrel15.3%
Hard Hit47.6%
EV Avg92.1 mph
Sweet Sp39.5%
FB%29.8%
Season HR29
85°FWind 5mph6HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.1 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.250, barrel 15.3%, hard hit 47.6%, pitcher L3: 2.1HR/9, career Yankee Stadium: 33HR, 6HR last 14d, 85°F, calm 5mph
#3 ★★★★
Matt Olson 18.3
Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves  ·  7:15 PM ET
Truist Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Cal Quantrill (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.260
Barrel13.9%
Hard Hit51.6%
EV Avg92.9 mph
Sweet Sp30.9%
FB%34.2%
Season HR25
91°FWind 1mph5HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.260, barrel 13.9%, hard hit 51.6%, career Truist Park: 78HR, 5HR last 14d, 91°F, calm 1mph
#4 ★★★★
Shohei Ohtani 17.6
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees  ·  7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium  ·  Away
LHB vs Gerrit Cole (R)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.290
Barrel17.1%
Hard Hit52.4%
EV Avg93.6 mph
Sweet Sp39.4%
FB%31.7%
Season HR22
85°FWind 5mph4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.5 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.290, barrel 17.1%, hard hit 52.4%, pitcher L3: 1.5HR/9, career Yankee Stadium: 4HR, 4HR last 14d, 85°F, calm 5mph
#5 ★★★★
Mike Trout 16.7
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels  ·  9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium  ·  Home
RHB vs Troy Melton (R)  ·  #2 in order
xISO0.290
Barrel20.0%
Hard Hit49.0%
EV Avg90.7 mph
Sweet Sp37.2%
FB%34.7%
Season HR18
79°FWind 2mph1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.8 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.290, barrel 20.0%, hard hit 49.0%, career Angel Stadium: 209HR, calm 2mph
Solid LooksGood signals across the board5 picks22% HR rate (375 picks)
#6 ★★★☆☆ LINEUP PENDING
Nelson Velázquez 16.7
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks  ·  9:40 PM ET
Chase Field  ·  Away
RHB vs Merrill Kelly (R)  ·  #12 in order
xISO0.280
Barrel11.9%
Hard Hit66.7%
EV Avg94.7 mph
Sweet Sp40.5%
FB%33.3%
Season HR4
81°FWind 5mph1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 2.7 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.280, barrel 11.9%, hard hit 66.7%, pitcher L3: 2.7HR/9, 81°F, calm 5mph
#7 ★★★☆☆
Esmerlyn Valdez 16.6
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians  ·  7:10 PM ET
Progressive Field  ·  Away
RHB vs Gavin Williams (R)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.340
Barrel29.8%
Hard Hit52.6%
EV Avg92.1 mph
Sweet Sp38.6%
FB%42.1%
Season HR10
83°FWind 6mph4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.2 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.340, barrel 29.8%, hard hit 52.6%, pitcher L3: 1.2HR/9, 4HR last 14d, 83°F
#8 ★★★☆☆
Drake Baldwin 15.8
Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves  ·  7:15 PM ET
Truist Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Cal Quantrill (R)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.240
Barrel15.3%
Hard Hit51.2%
EV Avg91.4 mph
Sweet Sp37.8%
FB%24.4%
Season HR15
91°FWind 1mph1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.240, barrel 15.3%, hard hit 51.2%, career Truist Park: 17HR, 91°F, calm 1mph
#9 ★★★☆☆
Hunter Goodman 15.6
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies  ·  8:40 PM ET
Coors Field  ·  Home
RHB vs Brady Singer (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.230
Barrel16.6%
Hard Hit46.1%
EV Avg91.2 mph
Sweet Sp34.2%
FB%31.5%
Season HR27
86°FWind 5mphPitcher L3: 1.5 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.230, barrel 16.6%, hard hit 46.1%, pitcher L3: 1.5HR/9, career Coors Field: 34HR, 86°F, calm 5mph
#10 ★★★☆☆ LINEUP PENDING
James Wood 15.5
Washington Nationals @ Athletics  ·  9:40 PM ET
Sutter Health Park  ·  Away
LHB vs Gage Jump (L)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.340
Barrel22.7%
Hard Hit59.9%
EV Avg95.0 mph
Sweet Sp42.1%
FB%29.3%
Season HR28
76°FWind 6mph6HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.3 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.340, barrel 22.7%, hard hit 59.9%, 6HR last 14d
Worth WatchingModerate edge, worth a look5 picks22% HR rate (352 picks)
#11 ★★☆☆☆
Michael Harris II 14.8
Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves  ·  7:15 PM ET
Truist Park  ·  Home
LHB vs Cal Quantrill (R)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.210
Barrel13.0%
Hard Hit51.0%
EV Avg91.7 mph
Sweet Sp29.7%
FB%24.3%
Season HR16
91°FWind 1mph2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.210, barrel 13.0%, hard hit 51.0%, career Truist Park: 32HR, 91°F, calm 1mph
#12 ★★☆☆☆
Jac Caglianone 14.6
San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals  ·  8:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium  ·  Home
LHB vs Michael King (R)  ·  #3 in order
xISO0.220
Barrel14.7%
Hard Hit56.0%
EV Avg93.0 mph
Sweet Sp35.3%
FB%23.4%
Season HR15
88°FWind 9mph1HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.7 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.220, barrel 14.7%, hard hit 56.0%, career Kauffman Stadium: 12HR, 88°F
#13 ★★☆☆☆
Kody Clemens 14.5
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs  ·  8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field  ·  Away
LHB vs Colin Rea (R)  ·  #4 in order
xISO0.200
Barrel12.7%
Hard Hit46.1%
EV Avg92.6 mph
Sweet Sp35.7%
FB%31.7%
Season HR16
91°FWind 4mph2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.0 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.200, barrel 12.7%, hard hit 46.1%, pitcher L3: 1.0HR/9, 91°F, calm 4mph
#14 ★★☆☆☆
Kyle Stowers 14.4
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers  ·  7:40 PM ET
American Family Field  ·  Away
LHB vs Logan Henderson (R)  ·  #6 in order
xISO0.200
Barrel12.0%
Hard Hit54.3%
EV Avg91.8 mph
Sweet Sp34.9%
FB%28.6%
Season HR12
90°FWind 4mph4HR / 14dPitcher L3: 0.9 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.200, barrel 12.0%, hard hit 54.3%, career American Family Field: 1HR, 4HR last 14d, 90°F, calm 4mph
#15 ★★☆☆☆
Pete Crow-Armstrong 13.7
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs  ·  8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field  ·  Home
LHB vs Bailey Ober (R)  ·  #1 in order
xISO0.210
Barrel10.7%
Hard Hit48.6%
EV Avg90.2 mph
Sweet Sp36.4%
FB%34.0%
Season HR21
91°FWind 4mph2HR / 14dPitcher L3: 1.1 HR/9
Why: xISO 0.210, barrel 10.7%, hard hit 48.6%, pitcher L3: 1.1HR/9, career Wrigley Field: 30HR, 91°F, calm 4mph